Let's be honest. Even if you won't admit it, you've thought about what the outcome of tomorrow's primaries will be. The polls are tight in Texas and Ohio. Rhode Island looks to be solidly in Clinton's camp; Vermont looks to be solidly in Obama's camp. Regardless of the outcomes, both campaigns will try to spin the results.

So let's have some fun. What do you think is going to happen tomorrow?

For what it's worth, here are my predictions. And like everyone else, if I'm wrong, forget I ever made these picks. But if I'm right, you'll never hear the end of it :-)

Ohio: Clinton 51, Obama 46 (Clinton +5)
Texas: Clinton 47, Obama 50 (Obama +3)
Rhode Island: Clinton 56, Obama 43 (Clinton +13)
Vermont: Clinton 40, Obama 58 (Obama + 18)

Obama gains a net of 3-4 delegates.

I will keep this short, because I'm sure there are others that can provide a more in depth analysis than I can, but I wanted to point out two new polls that were just released. In two Washington Post/ABC News polls - available here - Clinton and Obama are statistically tied in Texas, while Clinton holds a narrow (and narrowing) lead in Ohio.

Texas (2/16-20/08)

Clinton: 48
Obama: 47
(M.o.E. +/- 4%)

Ohio (2/16-20/08)

Clinton: 50
Obama: 43
(M.o.E. +/- 4%)

I can't find past polls for comparison at the moment, but these polls reflect the closest point that Obama has gotten in either state in recent days.

If I were Hillary Clinton, I would be seriously concerned.

UPDATE: I just noticed that both of these polls were largely taken before Obama's February 19th victories in Hawaii and Wisconsin and I can't help but wonder if Obama has actually taken the lead in Texas. Time will tell...

CNN is reporting that Patti Solis Doyle is being replaced by Maggie Williams as Clinton's campaign manager. Solis Doyle, the highest ranking Latino in the Clinton Campaign, had been one of Hillary's senior advisers since the start of her campaign.

Needless to say, campaigns that are doing well don't switch campaign managers this late in the game.

AP Newswire to come.

By all conventional accounts, the results of yesterday’s primaries and caucuses point toward a neck-and-neck race between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Both campaigns are claiming victory based on a variety of metrics - from states to delegates to the popular vote. However, taking a closer look at the results from Missouri, the state that’s voted for the winner of every presidential election in the past 102 years (save one) and is a near perfect demographic microcosm for the rest of the country, not only does a clear trend emerge that bodes good things for Barack Obama, but for the national Democratic Party as a whole.

In today's editorial section of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, the editorial board wrote what can only be described a scathing look into the current situation in Iraq.

Take a few minutes to read the editorial. It'll give you hope that all of us here in "fly-over" country really do get it.

One of the horrible side effects of the war in Iraq is that it is diverting attention away from other crises in the world that are as bad, if not worse. One such place is the East African country of Uganda, which as I type this, is embroiled in the worst civil war of any nation on Earth. How bad is it? According to a report compiled by the UN in conjunction with over 50 humanitarian groups:

The current rate of death from the war in northern Uganda is three times higher than in Iraq following the Allied invasion.

source

In fact, as Jan Egeland, UN Under Secretary General of Humanitarian Affairs said yesterday, the situation in Uganda is the worst humanitarian crisis facing the world at this moment . Even more staggering was Egeland's assertion that Uganda is home to "the world's worst forms of terror" . As the situation in Uganda gets worse and worse, the United States and the rest of the world should remember the lesson it learned 12 years ago in Uganda's neighbor, Rwanda - you can't ignore Africa.

How bad is it and why should we care, especially in terms of our "war on terror"?

At the ripe old age of 22, I have been fortunate enough to have seen a good portion of the world in my short life. Immediately after graduating from UNC-Chapel Hill this past May, I took a job with a company that requires me to be out of the United States about 250 days a year. In the 9 months that I've been doing this job, I've been to 37 countries on 6 continents - from China to Columbia, Russia to South Africa. One of the best parts of this job is that I have gotten to experience life in so many different places, and more importantly, I have gotten to meet so many diverse and wonderful people. Throughout all of this, I have learned a great day not only about myself, but about my country, and our place in the world.

More, below the fold...